Metalnrg PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.5
| MNRG Stock | 9.75 0.00 0.00% |
Metalnrg |
Metalnrg PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 16.5
The tendency of Metalnrg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 16.50 after 90 days |
| 9.75 | 90 days | 16.50 | about 26.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metalnrg PLC to stay under 16.50 after 90 days from now is about 26.53 (This Metalnrg PLC probability density function shows the probability of Metalnrg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metalnrg PLC price to stay between its current price of 9.75 and 16.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metalnrg PLC has a beta of -1.81. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Metalnrg PLC are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Metalnrg PLC is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Metalnrg PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Metalnrg PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Metalnrg PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metalnrg PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Metalnrg PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metalnrg PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metalnrg PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metalnrg PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metalnrg PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Metalnrg PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metalnrg PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metalnrg PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Metalnrg PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Metalnrg PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Metalnrg PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Metalnrg PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Metalnrg PLC generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Metalnrg PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metalnrg Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metalnrg PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metalnrg PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5372.00 |
Metalnrg PLC Technical Analysis
Metalnrg PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metalnrg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metalnrg PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metalnrg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Metalnrg PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Metalnrg PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metalnrg PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metalnrg PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Metalnrg PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Metalnrg PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metalnrg PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Metalnrg PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Metalnrg PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Metalnrg PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Metalnrg PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Metalnrg PLC generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Metalnrg Stock Analysis
When running Metalnrg PLC's price analysis, check to measure Metalnrg PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metalnrg PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Metalnrg PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metalnrg PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metalnrg PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metalnrg PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.