Victory Munder Multi Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 57.40

MNNAX Fund  USD 56.52  4.62  7.56%   
Victory Munder's future price is the expected price of Victory Munder instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Victory Munder Multi Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Victory Munder Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Victory Munder Correlation, Victory Munder Hype Analysis, Victory Munder Volatility, Victory Munder History as well as Victory Munder Performance.
  
Please specify Victory Munder's target price for which you would like Victory Munder odds to be computed.

Victory Munder Target Price Odds to finish below 57.40

The tendency of Victory Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 57.40  after 90 days
 56.52 90 days 57.40 
about 15.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Munder to stay under $ 57.40  after 90 days from now is about 15.04 (This Victory Munder Multi Cap probability density function shows the probability of Victory Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victory Munder Multi price to stay between its current price of $ 56.52  and $ 57.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Victory Munder has a beta of 0.93. This indicates Victory Munder Multi Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Victory Munder is expected to follow. Additionally Victory Munder Multi Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Victory Munder Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Victory Munder

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Munder Multi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.2756.5257.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.9057.1558.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.0256.2657.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.9360.3462.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Victory Munder. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Victory Munder's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Victory Munder's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Victory Munder Multi.

Victory Munder Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Munder is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Munder's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Munder Multi Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Munder within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Victory Munder Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Munder for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Munder Multi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.07% of its assets in stocks

Victory Munder Technical Analysis

Victory Munder's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Munder Multi Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Victory Munder Predictive Forecast Models

Victory Munder's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Munder's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victory Munder's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Victory Munder Multi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Munder for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Munder Multi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.07% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Victory Mutual Fund

Victory Munder financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victory Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victory with respect to the benefits of owning Victory Munder security.
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