Mid Cap Growth Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.96

MMCGX Fund  USD 23.04  0.44  1.95%   
Mid Cap's future price is the expected price of Mid Cap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mid Cap Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mid Cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mid Cap Correlation, Mid Cap Hype Analysis, Mid Cap Volatility, Mid Cap History as well as Mid Cap Performance.
  
Please specify Mid Cap's target price for which you would like Mid Cap odds to be computed.

Mid Cap Target Price Odds to finish over 18.96

The tendency of Mid Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 18.96  in 90 days
 23.04 90 days 18.96 
about 74.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mid Cap to stay above $ 18.96  in 90 days from now is about 74.34 (This Mid Cap Growth probability density function shows the probability of Mid Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mid Cap Growth price to stay between $ 18.96  and its current price of $23.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mid Cap will likely underperform. Additionally Mid Cap Growth has an alpha of 0.356, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mid Cap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mid Cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mid Cap Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.2623.0424.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6924.4726.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.5322.3024.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.6023.5124.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mid Cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mid Cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mid Cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mid Cap Growth.

Mid Cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mid Cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mid Cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mid Cap Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mid Cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.38
σ
Overall volatility
2.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Mid Cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mid Cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mid Cap Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -6.0%
Mid Cap Growth maintains 93.69% of its assets in stocks

Mid Cap Technical Analysis

Mid Cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mid Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mid Cap Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mid Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mid Cap Predictive Forecast Models

Mid Cap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mid Cap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mid Cap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mid Cap Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mid Cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mid Cap Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -6.0%
Mid Cap Growth maintains 93.69% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Mid Mutual Fund

Mid Cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mid Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mid with respect to the benefits of owning Mid Cap security.
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance