Compagnie (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 147.5

MLCMB Stock  EUR 141.00  1.00  0.70%   
Compagnie's future price is the expected price of Compagnie instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compagnie Du Mont Blanc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compagnie Backtesting, Compagnie Valuation, Compagnie Correlation, Compagnie Hype Analysis, Compagnie Volatility, Compagnie History as well as Compagnie Performance.
  
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Compagnie Target Price Odds to finish below 147.5

The tendency of Compagnie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 147.50  after 90 days
 141.00 90 days 147.50 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie to stay under € 147.50  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Compagnie Du Mont Blanc probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie Du Mont price to stay between its current price of € 141.00  and € 147.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compagnie has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Compagnie average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compagnie Du Mont Blanc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compagnie Du Mont Blanc has an alpha of 0.0782, implying that it can generate a 0.0782 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Compagnie Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compagnie

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie Du Mont. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
139.24141.00142.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
126.56128.32155.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
141.06142.82144.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
128.45135.19141.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Compagnie. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Compagnie's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Compagnie's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Compagnie Du Mont.

Compagnie Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie Du Mont Blanc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
3.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.0091

Compagnie Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compagnie for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compagnie Du Mont can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie Du Mont has accumulated €154.98 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Compagnie Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compagnie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compagnie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compagnie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding900 K
Cash And Short Term Investments166.5 M

Compagnie Technical Analysis

Compagnie's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie Du Mont Blanc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compagnie Predictive Forecast Models

Compagnie's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compagnie Du Mont

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compagnie for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compagnie Du Mont help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie Du Mont has accumulated €154.98 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Compagnie Stock Analysis

When running Compagnie's price analysis, check to measure Compagnie's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compagnie is operating at the current time. Most of Compagnie's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compagnie's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compagnie's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compagnie to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.