Markel Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1782.92
| MKL Stock | USD 1,783 2.19 0.12% |
Closest to current price Markel long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Markel |
Markel Target Price Odds to finish over 1782.92
The tendency of Markel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1,783 | 90 days | 1,783 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Markel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Markel probability density function shows the probability of Markel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Markel will likely underperform. Additionally Markel has an alpha of 0.0348, implying that it can generate a 0.0348 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Markel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Markel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Markel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Markel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Markel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Markel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Markel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Markel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 67.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Markel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Markel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Markel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Markel has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Why Is Markel Group Up 15.8 percent Since Last Earnings Report |
Markel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Markel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Markel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Markel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.2 B |
Markel Technical Analysis
Markel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Markel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Markel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Markel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Markel Predictive Forecast Models
Markel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Markel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Markel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Markel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Markel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Markel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Markel has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Why Is Markel Group Up 15.8 percent Since Last Earnings Report |
Check out Markel Backtesting, Markel Valuation, Markel Correlation, Markel Hype Analysis, Markel Volatility, Markel History as well as Markel Performance. For more information on how to buy Markel Stock please use our How to buy in Markel Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Markel. If investors know Markel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Markel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 20.099 | Earnings Share 216.62 | Revenue Per Share 1.3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.366 | Return On Assets 0.0462 |
The market value of Markel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Markel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Markel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Markel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Markel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Markel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Markel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Markel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Markel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.