Markforged Holding Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.6
| MKFG Stock | USD 4.30 0.01 0.23% |
Markforged |
Markforged Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 11.6
The tendency of Markforged Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 11.60 after 90 days |
| 4.30 | 90 days | 11.60 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Markforged Holding to stay under $ 11.60 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Markforged Holding Corp probability density function shows the probability of Markforged Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Markforged Holding Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 4.30 and $ 11.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.21 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Markforged Holding Corp has a beta of -0.91. This indicates Moreover Markforged Holding Corp has an alpha of 1.6456, implying that it can generate a 1.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Markforged Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Markforged Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Markforged Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Markforged Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Markforged Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Markforged Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Markforged Holding Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Markforged Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Markforged Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Markforged Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Markforged Holding Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Markforged Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Markforged Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Markforged Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 93.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 50.71 M. | |
| Markforged Holding Corp currently holds about 181.8 M in cash with (48.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Jacobs Levy Equity Management Inc. Sells 707,065 Shares of Markforged Holding Co. - MarketBeat |
Markforged Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Markforged Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Markforged Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Markforged Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 196.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 116.9 M |
Markforged Holding Technical Analysis
Markforged Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Markforged Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Markforged Holding Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Markforged Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Markforged Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Markforged Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Markforged Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Markforged Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Markforged Holding Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Markforged Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Markforged Holding Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Markforged Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Markforged Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Markforged Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 93.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 50.71 M. | |
| Markforged Holding Corp currently holds about 181.8 M in cash with (48.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Jacobs Levy Equity Management Inc. Sells 707,065 Shares of Markforged Holding Co. - MarketBeat |
Check out Markforged Holding Backtesting, Markforged Holding Valuation, Markforged Holding Correlation, Markforged Holding Hype Analysis, Markforged Holding Volatility, Markforged Holding History as well as Markforged Holding Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Markforged Holding. If investors know Markforged will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Markforged Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.41) | Revenue Per Share 4.332 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 | Return On Assets (0.20) | Return On Equity (0.65) |
The market value of Markforged Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Markforged that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Markforged Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Markforged Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Markforged Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Markforged Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Markforged Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Markforged Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Markforged Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.