Matthews Japan Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 22.18

MIJFX Fund  USD 21.10  0.18  0.85%   
Matthews Japan's future price is the expected price of Matthews Japan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Matthews Japan Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Matthews Japan Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Matthews Japan Correlation, Matthews Japan Hype Analysis, Matthews Japan Volatility, Matthews Japan History as well as Matthews Japan Performance.
  
Please specify Matthews Japan's target price for which you would like Matthews Japan odds to be computed.

Matthews Japan Target Price Odds to finish over 22.18

The tendency of Matthews Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 22.18  or more in 90 days
 21.10 90 days 22.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matthews Japan to move over $ 22.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Matthews Japan Fund probability density function shows the probability of Matthews Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matthews Japan price to stay between its current price of $ 21.10  and $ 22.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Matthews Japan has a beta of 0.66. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Matthews Japan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Matthews Japan Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Matthews Japan Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Matthews Japan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Matthews Japan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matthews Japan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7821.1022.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7621.0822.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Matthews Japan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Matthews Japan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Matthews Japan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Matthews Japan.

Matthews Japan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matthews Japan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matthews Japan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matthews Japan Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matthews Japan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Matthews Japan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matthews Japan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matthews Japan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.64% of its assets in stocks

Matthews Japan Technical Analysis

Matthews Japan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matthews Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matthews Japan Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matthews Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Matthews Japan Predictive Forecast Models

Matthews Japan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matthews Japan's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matthews Japan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Matthews Japan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Matthews Japan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matthews Japan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.64% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Matthews Mutual Fund

Matthews Japan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Matthews Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Matthews with respect to the benefits of owning Matthews Japan security.
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity