Matthews Asia Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.03

MIAPX Fund  USD 24.18  0.08  0.33%   
Matthews Asia's future price is the expected price of Matthews Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Matthews Asia Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Matthews Asia Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Matthews Asia Correlation, Matthews Asia Hype Analysis, Matthews Asia Volatility, Matthews Asia History as well as Matthews Asia Performance.
  
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Matthews Asia Target Price Odds to finish over 25.03

The tendency of Matthews Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 25.03  or more in 90 days
 24.18 90 days 25.03 
about 7.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matthews Asia to move over $ 25.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.9 (This Matthews Asia Growth probability density function shows the probability of Matthews Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matthews Asia Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 24.18  and $ 25.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Matthews Asia has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Matthews Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Matthews Asia Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Matthews Asia Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Matthews Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Matthews Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matthews Asia Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.1424.1825.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2124.2525.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.3224.3625.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.5024.1224.75
Details

Matthews Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matthews Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matthews Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matthews Asia Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matthews Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.001
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Matthews Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matthews Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matthews Asia Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -9.0%
Matthews Asia Growth maintains 97.52% of its assets in stocks

Matthews Asia Technical Analysis

Matthews Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matthews Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matthews Asia Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matthews Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Matthews Asia Predictive Forecast Models

Matthews Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matthews Asia's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matthews Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Matthews Asia Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Matthews Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matthews Asia Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -9.0%
Matthews Asia Growth maintains 97.52% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Matthews Mutual Fund

Matthews Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Matthews Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Matthews with respect to the benefits of owning Matthews Asia security.
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