MGO Global Common Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.59
MGOLDelisted Stock | 5.95 2.80 32.00% |
MGO |
MGO Global Target Price Odds to finish below 1.59
The tendency of MGO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.59 or more in 90 days |
5.95 | 90 days | 1.59 | about 62.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MGO Global to drop to 1.59 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.41 (This MGO Global Common probability density function shows the probability of MGO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MGO Global Common price to stay between 1.59 and its current price of 5.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 48.02 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MGO Global will likely underperform. In addition to that MGO Global Common has an alpha of 27.9297, implying that it can generate a 27.93 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MGO Global Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for MGO Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MGO Global Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MGO Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MGO Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MGO Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MGO Global Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MGO Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 27.93 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 48.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
MGO Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MGO Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MGO Global Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.MGO Global Common is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
MGO Global Common is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
MGO Global Common appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
MGO Global Common has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.09 M. | |
MGO Global generates negative cash flow from operations | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Heidmar and MGO Global Successfully Complete Business Combination |
MGO Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MGO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MGO Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MGO Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 934.9 K |
MGO Global Technical Analysis
MGO Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MGO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MGO Global Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing MGO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MGO Global Predictive Forecast Models
MGO Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many MGO Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MGO Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MGO Global Common
Checking the ongoing alerts about MGO Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MGO Global Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MGO Global Common is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
MGO Global Common is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
MGO Global Common appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
MGO Global Common has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.09 M. | |
MGO Global generates negative cash flow from operations | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Heidmar and MGO Global Successfully Complete Business Combination |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Other Consideration for investing in MGO Stock
If you are still planning to invest in MGO Global Common check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the MGO Global's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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