Mfs Lifetime 2060 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.34

MFJBX Fund  USD 17.34  0.10  0.57%   
Mfs Lifetime's future price is the expected price of Mfs Lifetime instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mfs Lifetime 2060 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mfs Lifetime Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mfs Lifetime Correlation, Mfs Lifetime Hype Analysis, Mfs Lifetime Volatility, Mfs Lifetime History as well as Mfs Lifetime Performance.
  
Please specify Mfs Lifetime's target price for which you would like Mfs Lifetime odds to be computed.

Mfs Lifetime Target Price Odds to finish below 14.34

The tendency of Mfs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 14.34  or more in 90 days
 17.34 90 days 14.34 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mfs Lifetime to drop to $ 14.34  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mfs Lifetime 2060 probability density function shows the probability of Mfs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mfs Lifetime 2060 price to stay between $ 14.34  and its current price of $17.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs Lifetime has a beta of 0.0228. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mfs Lifetime average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mfs Lifetime 2060 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mfs Lifetime 2060 has an alpha of 0.0803, implying that it can generate a 0.0803 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mfs Lifetime Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mfs Lifetime

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Lifetime 2060. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.9917.5118.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7618.5419.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.0617.5818.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3417.4617.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mfs Lifetime. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mfs Lifetime's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mfs Lifetime's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mfs Lifetime 2060.

Mfs Lifetime Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mfs Lifetime is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mfs Lifetime's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mfs Lifetime 2060, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mfs Lifetime within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Mfs Lifetime Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mfs Lifetime for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mfs Lifetime 2060 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 88.78% of its assets in stocks

Mfs Lifetime Technical Analysis

Mfs Lifetime's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mfs Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mfs Lifetime 2060. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mfs Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mfs Lifetime Predictive Forecast Models

Mfs Lifetime's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mfs Lifetime's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mfs Lifetime's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mfs Lifetime 2060

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mfs Lifetime for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mfs Lifetime 2060 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 88.78% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Lifetime financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Lifetime security.
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