MFF Capital (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.78
| MFF Stock | 4.65 0.01 0.22% |
MFF |
MFF Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 3.78
The tendency of MFF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.78 or more in 90 days |
| 4.65 | 90 days | 3.78 | about 10.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFF Capital to drop to 3.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.48 (This MFF Capital Investments probability density function shows the probability of MFF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MFF Capital Investments price to stay between 3.78 and its current price of 4.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MFF Capital has a beta of 0.17. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MFF Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MFF Capital Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MFF Capital Investments has an alpha of 0.2649, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MFF Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MFF Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFF Capital Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MFF Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFF Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFF Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFF Capital Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFF Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
MFF Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFF Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFF Capital Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MFF Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: GenusPlus Group And 2 Other Undiscovered Gems In Australia - Simply Wall St |
MFF Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFF Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFF Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 578.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 46 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.14 | |
| Shares Float | 444.8 M |
MFF Capital Technical Analysis
MFF Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MFF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MFF Capital Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing MFF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MFF Capital Predictive Forecast Models
MFF Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many MFF Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MFF Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MFF Capital Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about MFF Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MFF Capital Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MFF Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: GenusPlus Group And 2 Other Undiscovered Gems In Australia - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for MFF Stock Analysis
When running MFF Capital's price analysis, check to measure MFF Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MFF Capital is operating at the current time. Most of MFF Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MFF Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MFF Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MFF Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.