Seres Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.77
| MCRB Stock | USD 0.69 0.05 7.81% |
Seres |
Seres Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over 18.77
The tendency of Seres Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 18.77 or more in 90 days |
| 0.69 | 90 days | 18.77 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seres Therapeutics to move over $ 18.77 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Seres Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Seres Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seres Therapeutics price to stay between its current price of $ 0.69 and $ 18.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.27 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Seres Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Seres Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.0773, implying that it can generate a 0.0773 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Seres Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seres Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seres Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seres Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seres Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seres Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seres Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seres Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Seres Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seres Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seres Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seres Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seres Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Seres Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Seres Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 126.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (113.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (12.61 M). | |
| Seres Therapeutics currently holds about 195.8 M in cash with (117.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.58, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Seres Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Seres Therapeutics GAAP EPS of -0.81 misses by 0.69 |
Seres Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seres Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seres Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seres Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128 M |
Seres Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Seres Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seres Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seres Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seres Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seres Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Seres Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Seres Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seres Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seres Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seres Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seres Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seres Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seres Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Seres Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Seres Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 126.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (113.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (12.61 M). | |
| Seres Therapeutics currently holds about 195.8 M in cash with (117.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.58, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Seres Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Seres Therapeutics GAAP EPS of -0.81 misses by 0.69 |
Check out Seres Therapeutics Backtesting, Seres Therapeutics Valuation, Seres Therapeutics Correlation, Seres Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Seres Therapeutics Volatility, Seres Therapeutics History as well as Seres Therapeutics Performance. For information on how to trade Seres Stock refer to our How to Trade Seres Stock guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seres Therapeutics. If investors know Seres will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seres Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.40) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.93) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Seres Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seres that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seres Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seres Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seres Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seres Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seres Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seres Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seres Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.