Matthews China Discovery Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 31.78
| MCHS Etf | 25.93 0.23 0.88% |
Matthews |
Matthews China Target Price Odds to finish over 31.78
The tendency of Matthews Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 31.78 or more in 90 days |
| 25.93 | 90 days | 31.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matthews China to move over 31.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Matthews China Discovery probability density function shows the probability of Matthews Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matthews China Discovery price to stay between its current price of 25.93 and 31.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Matthews China Discovery has a beta of -0.44. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Matthews China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Matthews China Discovery is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Matthews China Discovery has an alpha of 0.1813, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Matthews China Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Matthews China
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matthews China Discovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Matthews China Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matthews China is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matthews China's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matthews China Discovery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matthews China within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Matthews China Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matthews China for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matthews China Discovery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Matthews China generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Matthews China Technical Analysis
Matthews China's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matthews Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matthews China Discovery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matthews Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Matthews China Predictive Forecast Models
Matthews China's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matthews China's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matthews China's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Matthews China Discovery
Checking the ongoing alerts about Matthews China for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matthews China Discovery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Matthews China generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Check out Matthews China Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Matthews China Correlation, Matthews China Hype Analysis, Matthews China Volatility, Matthews China History as well as Matthews China Performance. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
The market value of Matthews China Discovery is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Matthews that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Matthews China's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Matthews China's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Matthews China's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Matthews China's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Matthews China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Matthews China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Matthews China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.