Metropolitan Bank Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.69
| MCB Stock | USD 65.63 0.79 1.19% |
Metropolitan |
Metropolitan Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 66.69
The tendency of Metropolitan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 66.69 after 90 days |
| 65.63 | 90 days | 66.69 | about 92.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metropolitan Bank to stay under $ 66.69 after 90 days from now is about 92.95 (This Metropolitan Bank Holding probability density function shows the probability of Metropolitan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metropolitan Bank Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 65.63 and $ 66.69 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.72 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.83 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Metropolitan Bank will likely underperform. Additionally Metropolitan Bank Holding has an alpha of 0.1538, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Metropolitan Bank Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Metropolitan Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metropolitan Bank Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Metropolitan Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Metropolitan Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metropolitan Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metropolitan Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metropolitan Bank Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metropolitan Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Metropolitan Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metropolitan Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metropolitan Bank Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Metropolitan Bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Metropolitan Bank has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Metropolitan Commercial Bank aided and abetted Voyager fraud lawsuit |
Metropolitan Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metropolitan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metropolitan Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metropolitan Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.8 M |
Metropolitan Bank Technical Analysis
Metropolitan Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metropolitan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metropolitan Bank Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metropolitan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Metropolitan Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Metropolitan Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metropolitan Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metropolitan Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Metropolitan Bank Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Metropolitan Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metropolitan Bank Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Metropolitan Bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Metropolitan Bank has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Metropolitan Commercial Bank aided and abetted Voyager fraud lawsuit |
Check out Metropolitan Bank Backtesting, Metropolitan Bank Valuation, Metropolitan Bank Correlation, Metropolitan Bank Hype Analysis, Metropolitan Bank Volatility, Metropolitan Bank History as well as Metropolitan Bank Performance. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Metropolitan Bank. If investors know Metropolitan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Metropolitan Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | Earnings Share 5.34 | Revenue Per Share 23.164 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.161 | Return On Assets 0.0085 |
The market value of Metropolitan Bank Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Metropolitan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Metropolitan Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Metropolitan Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Metropolitan Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Metropolitan Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Metropolitan Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Metropolitan Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Metropolitan Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.