Total Return Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.72

MBFIX Fund  USD 11.13  0.04  0.36%   
Total Return's future price is the expected price of Total Return instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Total Return Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Total Return Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Total Return Correlation, Total Return Hype Analysis, Total Return Volatility, Total Return History as well as Total Return Performance.
  
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Total Return Target Price Odds to finish over 10.72

The tendency of Total Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 10.72  in 90 days
 11.13 90 days 10.72 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Total Return to stay above $ 10.72  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Total Return Bond probability density function shows the probability of Total Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Total Return Bond price to stay between $ 10.72  and its current price of $11.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Total Return Bond has a beta of -0.0413. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Total Return are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Total Return Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Total Return Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Total Return Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Total Return

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Total Return Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8211.1311.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4410.7512.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.8511.1711.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9911.0611.12
Details

Total Return Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Total Return is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Total Return's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Total Return Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Total Return within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.5

Total Return Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Total Return for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Total Return Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Total Return Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Total Return Bond maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Total Return Technical Analysis

Total Return's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Total Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Total Return Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Total Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Total Return Predictive Forecast Models

Total Return's time-series forecasting models is one of many Total Return's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Total Return's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Total Return Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Total Return for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Total Return Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Total Return Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Total Return Bond maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Total Mutual Fund

Total Return financial ratios help investors to determine whether Total Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Total with respect to the benefits of owning Total Return security.
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