Masterbrand Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.08
| MBC Stock | 14.46 0.15 1.03% |
MasterBrand |
MasterBrand Target Price Odds to finish below 10.08
The tendency of MasterBrand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.08 or more in 90 days |
| 14.46 | 90 days | 10.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MasterBrand to drop to 10.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MasterBrand probability density function shows the probability of MasterBrand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MasterBrand price to stay between 10.08 and its current price of 14.46 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon MasterBrand has a beta of 0.99. This indicates MasterBrand market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MasterBrand is expected to follow. Additionally MasterBrand has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MasterBrand Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MasterBrand
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MasterBrand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MasterBrand Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MasterBrand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MasterBrand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MasterBrand, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MasterBrand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
MasterBrand Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MasterBrand for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MasterBrand can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MasterBrand generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: MasterBrand, Inc.s Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 43 percent Above Its Share Price |
MasterBrand Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MasterBrand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MasterBrand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MasterBrand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 129.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 148.7 M |
MasterBrand Technical Analysis
MasterBrand's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MasterBrand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MasterBrand. In general, you should focus on analyzing MasterBrand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MasterBrand Predictive Forecast Models
MasterBrand's time-series forecasting models is one of many MasterBrand's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MasterBrand's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MasterBrand
Checking the ongoing alerts about MasterBrand for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MasterBrand help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MasterBrand generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: MasterBrand, Inc.s Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 43 percent Above Its Share Price |
Check out MasterBrand Backtesting, MasterBrand Valuation, MasterBrand Correlation, MasterBrand Hype Analysis, MasterBrand Volatility, MasterBrand History as well as MasterBrand Performance. For information on how to trade MasterBrand Stock refer to our How to Trade MasterBrand Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MasterBrand. If investors know MasterBrand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MasterBrand listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Earnings Share 1.14 | Revenue Per Share 21.341 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 | Return On Assets 0.0653 |
The market value of MasterBrand is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MasterBrand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MasterBrand's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MasterBrand's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MasterBrand's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MasterBrand's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MasterBrand's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MasterBrand is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MasterBrand's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.