Vaneck Vectors Moodys Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 21.43

MBBB Etf  USD 21.29  0.07  0.33%   
VanEck Vectors' future price is the expected price of VanEck Vectors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VanEck Vectors Moodys performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VanEck Vectors Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Vectors Correlation, VanEck Vectors Hype Analysis, VanEck Vectors Volatility, VanEck Vectors History as well as VanEck Vectors Performance.
  
Please specify VanEck Vectors' target price for which you would like VanEck Vectors odds to be computed.

VanEck Vectors Target Price Odds to finish over 21.43

The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 21.43  or more in 90 days
 21.29 90 days 21.43 
about 73.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Vectors to move over $ 21.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 73.62 (This VanEck Vectors Moodys probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Vectors Moodys price to stay between its current price of $ 21.29  and $ 21.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Vectors has a beta of 0.0845. This indicates as returns on the market go up, VanEck Vectors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck Vectors Moodys will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck Vectors Moodys has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VanEck Vectors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VanEck Vectors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Vectors Moodys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.9321.2921.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0021.3621.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VanEck Vectors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VanEck Vectors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VanEck Vectors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VanEck Vectors Moodys.

VanEck Vectors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Vectors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Vectors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Vectors Moodys, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Vectors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

VanEck Vectors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Vectors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Vectors Moodys can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VanEck Vectors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Prepare for Credit Shocks With These Corporate Bonds ETFs - ETF Trends
The fund created three year return of -1.0%
VanEck Vectors Moodys maintains about 27.35% of its assets in bonds

VanEck Vectors Technical Analysis

VanEck Vectors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Vectors Moodys. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VanEck Vectors Predictive Forecast Models

VanEck Vectors' time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Vectors' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Vectors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VanEck Vectors Moodys

Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Vectors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Vectors Moodys help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VanEck Vectors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Prepare for Credit Shocks With These Corporate Bonds ETFs - ETF Trends
The fund created three year return of -1.0%
VanEck Vectors Moodys maintains about 27.35% of its assets in bonds
When determining whether VanEck Vectors Moodys is a strong investment it is important to analyze VanEck Vectors' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact VanEck Vectors' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding VanEck Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out VanEck Vectors Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Vectors Correlation, VanEck Vectors Hype Analysis, VanEck Vectors Volatility, VanEck Vectors History as well as VanEck Vectors Performance.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
The market value of VanEck Vectors Moodys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Vectors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Vectors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Vectors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Vectors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Vectors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Vectors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Vectors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.