Fundo De (Brazil) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 50.64

MAXR11 Fund  BRL 66.00  4.61  7.51%   
Fundo De's future price is the expected price of Fundo De instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fundo De Investimentos performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fundo De Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fundo De Correlation, Fundo De Hype Analysis, Fundo De Volatility, Fundo De History as well as Fundo De Performance.
  
Please specify Fundo De's target price for which you would like Fundo De odds to be computed.

Fundo De Target Price Odds to finish below 50.64

The tendency of Fundo Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to R$ 50.64  or more in 90 days
 66.00 90 days 50.64 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fundo De to drop to R$ 50.64  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fundo De Investimentos probability density function shows the probability of Fundo Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fundo De Investimentos price to stay between R$ 50.64  and its current price of R$66.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fundo De has a beta of 0.39. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Fundo De average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fundo De Investimentos will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fundo De Investimentos has an alpha of 0.1868, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fundo De Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fundo De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundo De Investimentos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.9566.0069.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.1765.2268.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.1566.2069.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.0461.8582.65
Details

Fundo De Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fundo De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fundo De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fundo De Investimentos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fundo De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
2.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Fundo De Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fundo De for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fundo De Investimentos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fundo De had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Fundo De Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fundo Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fundo De's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fundo De's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Fundo De Technical Analysis

Fundo De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fundo Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fundo De Investimentos. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fundo Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fundo De Predictive Forecast Models

Fundo De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fundo De's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fundo De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fundo De Investimentos

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fundo De for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fundo De Investimentos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fundo De had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Fundo Fund

Fundo De financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fundo Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fundo with respect to the benefits of owning Fundo De security.
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