Marubeni Corp Adr Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 165.22
| MARUY Stock | USD 148.21 2.02 1.34% |
Marubeni |
Marubeni Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 165.22
The tendency of Marubeni Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 165.22 or more in 90 days |
| 148.21 | 90 days | 165.22 | about 10.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marubeni Corp to move over $ 165.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.45 (This Marubeni Corp ADR probability density function shows the probability of Marubeni Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marubeni Corp ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 148.21 and $ 165.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Marubeni Corp has a beta of 0.44. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marubeni Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marubeni Corp ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marubeni Corp ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Marubeni Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Marubeni Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marubeni Corp ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marubeni Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marubeni Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marubeni Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marubeni Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marubeni Corp ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marubeni Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Marubeni Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marubeni Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marubeni Corp ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marubeni Corp ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Marubeni Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marubeni Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marubeni Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marubeni Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 173.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 T |
Marubeni Corp Technical Analysis
Marubeni Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marubeni Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marubeni Corp ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marubeni Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marubeni Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Marubeni Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marubeni Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marubeni Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marubeni Corp ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marubeni Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marubeni Corp ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marubeni Corp ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Marubeni Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Marubeni Corp's price analysis, check to measure Marubeni Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marubeni Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Marubeni Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marubeni Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marubeni Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marubeni Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.