Malu Paper (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.40
| MALUPAPER | 45.08 0.87 1.97% |
Malu |
Malu Paper Target Price Odds to finish below 39.40
The tendency of Malu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 39.40 or more in 90 days |
| 45.08 | 90 days | 39.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Malu Paper to drop to 39.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Malu Paper Mills probability density function shows the probability of Malu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Malu Paper Mills price to stay between 39.40 and its current price of 45.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Malu Paper Mills has a beta of -0.32. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Malu Paper are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Malu Paper Mills is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Malu Paper Mills has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Malu Paper Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Malu Paper
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Malu Paper Mills. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Malu Paper Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Malu Paper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Malu Paper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Malu Paper Mills, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Malu Paper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Malu Paper Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Malu Paper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Malu Paper Mills can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Malu Paper Mills generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Malu Paper Mills has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Malu Paper Mills has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Malu Paper Mills Reports Negative Q2 Results, Concerning Financial Trends Emerge - MarketsMojo |
Malu Paper Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Malu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Malu Paper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Malu Paper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.8 M |
Malu Paper Technical Analysis
Malu Paper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Malu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Malu Paper Mills. In general, you should focus on analyzing Malu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Malu Paper Predictive Forecast Models
Malu Paper's time-series forecasting models is one of many Malu Paper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Malu Paper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Malu Paper Mills
Checking the ongoing alerts about Malu Paper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Malu Paper Mills help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Malu Paper Mills generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Malu Paper Mills has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Malu Paper Mills has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Malu Paper Mills Reports Negative Q2 Results, Concerning Financial Trends Emerge - MarketsMojo |
Additional Tools for Malu Stock Analysis
When running Malu Paper's price analysis, check to measure Malu Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Malu Paper is operating at the current time. Most of Malu Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Malu Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Malu Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Malu Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.