Plaza SA (Chile) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1,625

MALLPLAZA  CLP 1,670  0.90  0.05%   
Plaza SA's future price is the expected price of Plaza SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Plaza SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Plaza SA Backtesting, Plaza SA Valuation, Plaza SA Correlation, Plaza SA Hype Analysis, Plaza SA Volatility, Plaza SA History as well as Plaza SA Performance.
  
Please specify Plaza SA's target price for which you would like Plaza SA odds to be computed.

Plaza SA Target Price Odds to finish over 1,625

The tendency of Plaza Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,670 90 days 1,670 
roughly 2.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plaza SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.73 (This Plaza SA probability density function shows the probability of Plaza Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Plaza SA has a beta of -0.0408. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Plaza SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Plaza SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Plaza SA has an alpha of 0.1351, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Plaza SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Plaza SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plaza SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,6691,6701,671
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4171,4191,837
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,6511,6531,654
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,5891,6441,698
Details

Plaza SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plaza SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plaza SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plaza SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plaza SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
48.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Plaza SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plaza SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plaza SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Plaza SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Plaza Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Plaza SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plaza SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Plaza SA Technical Analysis

Plaza SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plaza Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plaza SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plaza Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Plaza SA Predictive Forecast Models

Plaza SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Plaza SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plaza SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Plaza SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Plaza SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plaza SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Plaza Stock

Plaza SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Plaza Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Plaza with respect to the benefits of owning Plaza SA security.