Maj Invest (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 127.99
| MAJPEN Stock | DKK 128.34 0.30 0.23% |
Maj |
Maj Invest Target Price Odds to finish below 127.99
The tendency of Maj Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 127.99 or more in 90 days |
| 128.34 | 90 days | 127.99 | over 95.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maj Invest to drop to kr 127.99 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.51 (This Maj Invest Pension probability density function shows the probability of Maj Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maj Invest Pension price to stay between kr 127.99 and its current price of kr128.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maj Invest has a beta of 0.17. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Maj Invest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maj Invest Pension will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Maj Invest Pension has an alpha of 0.0162, implying that it can generate a 0.0162 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Maj Invest Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Maj Invest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maj Invest Pension. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Maj Invest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Maj Invest Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maj Invest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maj Invest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maj Invest Pension, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maj Invest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Maj Invest Technical Analysis
Maj Invest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maj Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maj Invest Pension. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maj Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Maj Invest Predictive Forecast Models
Maj Invest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maj Invest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maj Invest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Maj Invest in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Maj Invest's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Maj Invest options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Maj Stock
Maj Invest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maj Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maj with respect to the benefits of owning Maj Invest security.