Medical Properties (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.62
| M3P Stock | EUR 3.66 0.02 0.54% |
Medical |
Medical Properties Target Price Odds to finish over 4.62
The tendency of Medical Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 4.62 or more in 90 days |
| 3.66 | 90 days | 4.62 | about 19.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Medical Properties to move over € 4.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.23 (This Medical Properties Trust probability density function shows the probability of Medical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Medical Properties Trust price to stay between its current price of € 3.66 and € 4.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Medical Properties has a beta of 0.0064. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Medical Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Medical Properties Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Medical Properties Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Medical Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Medical Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medical Properties Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Medical Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Medical Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Medical Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Medical Properties Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Medical Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Medical Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Medical Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Medical Properties Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Medical Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Medical Properties has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Medical Properties has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Medical Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Medical Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Medical Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medical Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 597.5 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.08 | |
| Shares Float | 587.8 M |
Medical Properties Technical Analysis
Medical Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Medical Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Medical Properties Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Medical Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Medical Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Medical Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Medical Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Medical Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Medical Properties Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Medical Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Medical Properties Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Medical Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Medical Properties has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Medical Properties has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Medical Stock
When determining whether Medical Properties Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Medical Properties' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Medical Properties' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Medical Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Medical Properties Backtesting, Medical Properties Valuation, Medical Properties Correlation, Medical Properties Hype Analysis, Medical Properties Volatility, Medical Properties History as well as Medical Properties Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.