Lsi Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.48
| LYTS Stock | USD 20.09 0.01 0.05% |
Closest to current price LSI long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
LSI |
LSI Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 15.48
The tendency of LSI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.48 or more in 90 days |
| 20.09 | 90 days | 15.48 | about 14.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LSI Industries to drop to $ 15.48 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.97 (This LSI Industries probability density function shows the probability of LSI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LSI Industries price to stay between $ 15.48 and its current price of $20.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.56 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LSI Industries will likely underperform. Additionally LSI Industries has an alpha of 0.2208, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LSI Industries Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for LSI Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LSI Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LSI Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LSI Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LSI Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LSI Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LSI Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LSI Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
LSI Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LSI Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LSI Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: When Moves Investors should Listen - Stock Traders Daily |
LSI Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LSI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LSI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LSI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
LSI Industries Technical Analysis
LSI Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LSI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LSI Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing LSI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LSI Industries Predictive Forecast Models
LSI Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many LSI Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LSI Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LSI Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about LSI Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LSI Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: When Moves Investors should Listen - Stock Traders Daily |
Additional Tools for LSI Stock Analysis
When running LSI Industries' price analysis, check to measure LSI Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LSI Industries is operating at the current time. Most of LSI Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LSI Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LSI Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LSI Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.