Lubelski Wegiel (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.43
| LWB Stock | 21.66 0.64 2.87% |
Lubelski |
Lubelski Wegiel Target Price Odds to finish below 21.43
The tendency of Lubelski Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 21.43 or more in 90 days |
| 21.66 | 90 days | 21.43 | about 16.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lubelski Wegiel to drop to 21.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.96 (This Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka probability density function shows the probability of Lubelski Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka price to stay between 21.43 and its current price of 21.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lubelski Wegiel has a beta of 0.0735. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lubelski Wegiel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lubelski Wegiel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lubelski Wegiel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lubelski Wegiel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lubelski Wegiel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lubelski Wegiel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lubelski Wegiel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lubelski Wegiel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Lubelski Wegiel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lubelski Wegiel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lubelski Wegiel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lubelski Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lubelski Wegiel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lubelski Wegiel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 600.2 M |
Lubelski Wegiel Technical Analysis
Lubelski Wegiel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lubelski Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lubelski Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lubelski Wegiel Predictive Forecast Models
Lubelski Wegiel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lubelski Wegiel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lubelski Wegiel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lubelski Wegiel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Lubelski Stock Analysis
When running Lubelski Wegiel's price analysis, check to measure Lubelski Wegiel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lubelski Wegiel is operating at the current time. Most of Lubelski Wegiel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lubelski Wegiel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lubelski Wegiel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lubelski Wegiel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.