Lamb Weston Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 61.87
| LW Stock | USD 67.00 1.72 2.63% |
Lamb |
Lamb Weston Target Price Odds to finish below 61.87
The tendency of Lamb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 61.87 or more in 90 days |
| 67.00 | 90 days | 61.87 | about 1.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lamb Weston to drop to $ 61.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.34 (This Lamb Weston Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lamb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lamb Weston Holdings price to stay between $ 61.87 and its current price of $67.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.49 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Lamb Weston Holdings has a beta of -0.45. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lamb Weston are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lamb Weston Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lamb Weston Holdings has an alpha of 0.1152, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lamb Weston Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lamb Weston
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lamb Weston Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lamb Weston's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lamb Weston Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lamb Weston is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lamb Weston's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lamb Weston Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lamb Weston within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Lamb Weston Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lamb Weston for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lamb Weston Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lamb Weston Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Lamb Weston paid $ 0.36 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lamb Weston Holdings Inc Shares Up 4.16 percent on Dec 27 |
Lamb Weston Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lamb Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lamb Weston's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lamb Weston's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 145.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.4 M |
Lamb Weston Technical Analysis
Lamb Weston's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lamb Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lamb Weston Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lamb Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lamb Weston Predictive Forecast Models
Lamb Weston's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lamb Weston's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lamb Weston's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lamb Weston Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lamb Weston for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lamb Weston Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lamb Weston Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Lamb Weston paid $ 0.36 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lamb Weston Holdings Inc Shares Up 4.16 percent on Dec 27 |
Additional Tools for Lamb Stock Analysis
When running Lamb Weston's price analysis, check to measure Lamb Weston's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lamb Weston is operating at the current time. Most of Lamb Weston's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lamb Weston's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lamb Weston's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lamb Weston to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.