Lundin Mining Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.42

LUNMFDelisted Stock  USD 7.12  0.11  1.52%   
Lundin Mining's future price is the expected price of Lundin Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lundin Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
  
Please specify Lundin Mining's target price for which you would like Lundin Mining odds to be computed.

Lundin Mining Target Price Odds to finish over 7.42

The tendency of Lundin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 7.42  or more in 90 days
 7.12 90 days 7.42 
about 6.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lundin Mining to move over $ 7.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.55 (This Lundin Mining probability density function shows the probability of Lundin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lundin Mining price to stay between its current price of $ 7.12  and $ 7.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lundin Mining has a beta of -0.028. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lundin Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lundin Mining is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lundin Mining has an alpha of 0.4329, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lundin Mining Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.154.054.525.055.526.06.486.927.357.878.35Current PriceTargetLundin Mining Mean 0.10.20.30.40.50.60.7
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lundin Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lundin Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.127.127.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.875.877.83
Details

Lundin Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lundin Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lundin Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lundin Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lundin Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Lundin Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lundin Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lundin Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lundin Mining is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Lundin Mining has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lundin Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lundin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lundin Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lundin Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding735 M

Lundin Mining Technical Analysis

Lundin Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lundin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lundin Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lundin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lundin Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Lundin Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lundin Mining's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lundin Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lundin Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lundin Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lundin Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lundin Mining is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Lundin Mining has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Other Consideration for investing in Lundin Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Lundin Mining check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Lundin Mining's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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