Grayscale Litecoin Trust Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.15

LTCN Stock  USD 19.55  0.29  1.51%   
Grayscale Litecoin's future price is the expected price of Grayscale Litecoin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grayscale Litecoin Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grayscale Litecoin Backtesting, Grayscale Litecoin Valuation, Grayscale Litecoin Correlation, Grayscale Litecoin Hype Analysis, Grayscale Litecoin Volatility, Grayscale Litecoin History as well as Grayscale Litecoin Performance.
  
Please specify Grayscale Litecoin's target price for which you would like Grayscale Litecoin odds to be computed.

Grayscale Litecoin Target Price Odds to finish below 0.15

The tendency of Grayscale OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.15  or more in 90 days
 19.55 90 days 0.15 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grayscale Litecoin to drop to $ 0.15  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Grayscale Litecoin Trust probability density function shows the probability of Grayscale OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grayscale Litecoin Trust price to stay between $ 0.15  and its current price of $19.55 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.52 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Grayscale Litecoin will likely underperform. Moreover Grayscale Litecoin Trust has an alpha of 1.0775, implying that it can generate a 1.08 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grayscale Litecoin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grayscale Litecoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grayscale Litecoin Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grayscale Litecoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6119.5527.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0317.9725.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.8919.8327.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.0020.0422.07
Details

Grayscale Litecoin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grayscale Litecoin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grayscale Litecoin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grayscale Litecoin Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grayscale Litecoin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.52
σ
Overall volatility
2.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Grayscale Litecoin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grayscale Litecoin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grayscale Litecoin Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grayscale Litecoin is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Grayscale Litecoin appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Grayscale Litecoin Technical Analysis

Grayscale Litecoin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grayscale OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grayscale Litecoin Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grayscale OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grayscale Litecoin Predictive Forecast Models

Grayscale Litecoin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grayscale Litecoin's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grayscale Litecoin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grayscale Litecoin Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grayscale Litecoin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grayscale Litecoin Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grayscale Litecoin is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Grayscale Litecoin appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Grayscale OTC Stock

Grayscale Litecoin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grayscale OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grayscale with respect to the benefits of owning Grayscale Litecoin security.