Light Science (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.18
| LST Stock | 2.75 0.15 5.77% |
Light |
Light Science Target Price Odds to finish below 2.18
The tendency of Light Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.18 or more in 90 days |
| 2.75 | 90 days | 2.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Light Science to drop to 2.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Light Science Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Light Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Light Science Techno price to stay between 2.18 and its current price of 2.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Light Science Technologies has a beta of -0.0851. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Light Science are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Light Science Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Light Science Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Light Science Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Light Science
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Light Science Techno. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Light Science Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Light Science is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Light Science's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Light Science Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Light Science within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0077 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.006 |
Light Science Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Light Science for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Light Science Techno can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Light Science Techno had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (925.61 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.44 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Grand Vision Media Holdings Auditor Resignation - TipRanks |
Light Science Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Light Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Light Science's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Light Science's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 262.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 981.4 K |
Light Science Technical Analysis
Light Science's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Light Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Light Science Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Light Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Light Science Predictive Forecast Models
Light Science's time-series forecasting models is one of many Light Science's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Light Science's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Light Science Techno
Checking the ongoing alerts about Light Science for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Light Science Techno help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Light Science Techno had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (925.61 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.44 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Grand Vision Media Holdings Auditor Resignation - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in Light Stock
Light Science financial ratios help investors to determine whether Light Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Light with respect to the benefits of owning Light Science security.