Logan Circle Partners Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 7.27
| LPCYX Fund | USD 7.26 0.02 0.27% |
Logan |
Logan Circle Target Price Odds to finish over 7.27
The tendency of Logan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 7.27 or more in 90 days |
| 7.26 | 90 days | 7.27 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Logan Circle to move over $ 7.27 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Logan Circle Partners probability density function shows the probability of Logan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Logan Circle Partners price to stay between its current price of $ 7.26 and $ 7.27 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Logan Circle has a beta of 0.0774. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Logan Circle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Logan Circle Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Logan Circle Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Logan Circle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Logan Circle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logan Circle Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Logan Circle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Logan Circle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Logan Circle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Logan Circle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Logan Circle Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Logan Circle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Logan Circle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Logan Circle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Logan Circle Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Logan Circle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Logan Circle Partners generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 10.05% of its assets in cash |
Logan Circle Technical Analysis
Logan Circle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Logan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Logan Circle Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Logan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Logan Circle Predictive Forecast Models
Logan Circle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Logan Circle's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Logan Circle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Logan Circle Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Logan Circle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Logan Circle Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Logan Circle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Logan Circle Partners generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 10.05% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Logan Mutual Fund
Logan Circle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Logan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Logan with respect to the benefits of owning Logan Circle security.
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