Lionmesh Prima (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 619.60
| LMSH Stock | IDR 348.00 30.00 9.43% |
Lionmesh |
Lionmesh Prima Target Price Odds to finish over 619.60
The tendency of Lionmesh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 619.60 or more in 90 days |
| 348.00 | 90 days | 619.60 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lionmesh Prima to move over 619.60 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lionmesh Prima Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Lionmesh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lionmesh Prima Tbk price to stay between its current price of 348.00 and 619.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lionmesh Prima Tbk has a beta of -0.76. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lionmesh Prima are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lionmesh Prima Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lionmesh Prima Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lionmesh Prima Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lionmesh Prima
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lionmesh Prima Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lionmesh Prima Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lionmesh Prima is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lionmesh Prima's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lionmesh Prima Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lionmesh Prima within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Lionmesh Prima Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lionmesh Prima for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lionmesh Prima Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lionmesh Prima Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lionmesh Prima Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lionmesh Prima Tbk has accumulated about 18.61 B in cash with (1.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 243.03. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lionmesh Prima Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lionmesh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lionmesh Prima's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lionmesh Prima's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.9 B |
Lionmesh Prima Technical Analysis
Lionmesh Prima's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lionmesh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lionmesh Prima Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lionmesh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lionmesh Prima Predictive Forecast Models
Lionmesh Prima's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lionmesh Prima's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lionmesh Prima's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lionmesh Prima Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lionmesh Prima for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lionmesh Prima Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lionmesh Prima Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lionmesh Prima Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lionmesh Prima Tbk has accumulated about 18.61 B in cash with (1.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 243.03. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Lionmesh Stock
Lionmesh Prima financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lionmesh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lionmesh with respect to the benefits of owning Lionmesh Prima security.