Longleaf Partners Global Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.32
| LLGLX Fund | USD 12.94 0.10 0.77% |
Longleaf |
Longleaf Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 13.32
The tendency of Longleaf Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 13.32 after 90 days |
| 12.94 | 90 days | 13.32 | about 61.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Longleaf Partners to stay under $ 13.32 after 90 days from now is about 61.84 (This Longleaf Partners Global probability density function shows the probability of Longleaf Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Longleaf Partners Global price to stay between its current price of $ 12.94 and $ 13.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Longleaf Partners has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Longleaf Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Longleaf Partners Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Longleaf Partners Global has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Longleaf Partners Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Longleaf Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Longleaf Partners Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Longleaf Partners Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Longleaf Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Longleaf Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Longleaf Partners Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Longleaf Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Longleaf Partners Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Longleaf Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Longleaf Partners Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Longleaf Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 16.69% of its assets in cash |
Longleaf Partners Technical Analysis
Longleaf Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Longleaf Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Longleaf Partners Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Longleaf Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Longleaf Partners Predictive Forecast Models
Longleaf Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Longleaf Partners' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Longleaf Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Longleaf Partners Global
Checking the ongoing alerts about Longleaf Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Longleaf Partners Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Longleaf Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 16.69% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Longleaf Mutual Fund
Longleaf Partners financial ratios help investors to determine whether Longleaf Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Longleaf with respect to the benefits of owning Longleaf Partners security.
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets |