Lokman Hekim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.07
| LKMNH Stock | TRY 17.04 0.69 4.22% |
Lokman |
Lokman Hekim Target Price Odds to finish below 14.07
The tendency of Lokman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 14.07 or more in 90 days |
| 17.04 | 90 days | 14.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lokman Hekim to drop to 14.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lokman Hekim Engurusag probability density function shows the probability of Lokman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lokman Hekim Engurusag price to stay between 14.07 and its current price of 17.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lokman Hekim has a beta of 0.57. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lokman Hekim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lokman Hekim Engurusag will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lokman Hekim Engurusag has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lokman Hekim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lokman Hekim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lokman Hekim Engurusag. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lokman Hekim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lokman Hekim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lokman Hekim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lokman Hekim Engurusag, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lokman Hekim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Lokman Hekim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lokman Hekim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lokman Hekim Engurusag can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lokman Hekim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lokman Hekim has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Lokman Hekim Engurusag has accumulated 148.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 170.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lokman Hekim Engurusag has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lokman Hekim until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lokman Hekim's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lokman Hekim Engurusag sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lokman to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lokman Hekim's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Lokman Hekim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lokman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lokman Hekim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lokman Hekim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 10.3 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.39 | |
| Shares Float | 32 M |
Lokman Hekim Technical Analysis
Lokman Hekim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lokman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lokman Hekim Engurusag. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lokman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lokman Hekim Predictive Forecast Models
Lokman Hekim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lokman Hekim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lokman Hekim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lokman Hekim Engurusag
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lokman Hekim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lokman Hekim Engurusag help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lokman Hekim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lokman Hekim has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Lokman Hekim Engurusag has accumulated 148.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 170.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lokman Hekim Engurusag has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lokman Hekim until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lokman Hekim's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lokman Hekim Engurusag sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lokman to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lokman Hekim's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Lokman Stock
Lokman Hekim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lokman Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lokman with respect to the benefits of owning Lokman Hekim security.