Lindian Resources (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.09
| LIN Stock | 0.08 0 2.33% |
Lindian |
Lindian Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 16.09
The tendency of Lindian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.09 or more in 90 days |
| 0.08 | 90 days | 16.09 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lindian Resources to move over 16.09 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lindian Resources probability density function shows the probability of Lindian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lindian Resources price to stay between its current price of 0.08 and 16.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lindian Resources has a beta of 0.43. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lindian Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lindian Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lindian Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lindian Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lindian Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lindian Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lindian Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lindian Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lindian Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lindian Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lindian Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Lindian Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lindian Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lindian Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lindian Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lindian Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lindian Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lindian Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.39 K. Net Loss for the year was (4.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.98 K. | |
| Lindian Resources has accumulated about 7.62 M in cash with (4.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lindian Resources Revises CEO Agreement Amid ASX Breach - MSN |
Lindian Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lindian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lindian Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lindian Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.3 M |
Lindian Resources Technical Analysis
Lindian Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lindian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lindian Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lindian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lindian Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Lindian Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lindian Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lindian Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lindian Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lindian Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lindian Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lindian Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lindian Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lindian Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lindian Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.39 K. Net Loss for the year was (4.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.98 K. | |
| Lindian Resources has accumulated about 7.62 M in cash with (4.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lindian Resources Revises CEO Agreement Amid ASX Breach - MSN |
Additional Tools for Lindian Stock Analysis
When running Lindian Resources' price analysis, check to measure Lindian Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lindian Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Lindian Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lindian Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lindian Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lindian Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.