MSP Recovery Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.5

LIFWDelisted Stock   3.24  1.65  103.77%   
MSP Recovery's future price is the expected price of MSP Recovery instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MSP Recovery performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MSP Recovery Backtesting, MSP Recovery Valuation, MSP Recovery Correlation, MSP Recovery Hype Analysis, MSP Recovery Volatility, MSP Recovery History as well as MSP Recovery Performance.
  
Please specify MSP Recovery's target price for which you would like MSP Recovery odds to be computed.

MSP Recovery Target Price Odds to finish below 3.5

The tendency of MSP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  3.50  after 90 days
 3.24 90 days 3.50 
about 64.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MSP Recovery to stay under  3.50  after 90 days from now is about 64.34 (This MSP Recovery probability density function shows the probability of MSP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MSP Recovery price to stay between its current price of  3.24  and  3.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MSP Recovery has a beta of -0.79. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MSP Recovery are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MSP Recovery is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MSP Recovery has an alpha of 0.4563, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MSP Recovery Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MSP Recovery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MSP Recovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.2418.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.6617.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.7018.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.651.943.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MSP Recovery. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MSP Recovery's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MSP Recovery's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MSP Recovery.

MSP Recovery Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MSP Recovery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MSP Recovery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MSP Recovery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MSP Recovery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

MSP Recovery Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MSP Recovery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MSP Recovery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MSP Recovery is now traded under the symbol MSPR. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
MSP Recovery had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
MSP Recovery has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
MSP Recoveryhas  2,499,669  shares shorted by MSP Recovery investors is about 200% of outstending shares
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (56.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.44 M.
MSP Recovery generates negative cash flow from operations
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 80757 shares by Cano Health, Inc. of MSP Recovery at 0.76 subject to Rule 16b-3

MSP Recovery Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MSP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MSP Recovery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MSP Recovery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding356.6 K
Cash And Short Term Investments11.6 M

MSP Recovery Technical Analysis

MSP Recovery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MSP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MSP Recovery. In general, you should focus on analyzing MSP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MSP Recovery Predictive Forecast Models

MSP Recovery's time-series forecasting models is one of many MSP Recovery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MSP Recovery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MSP Recovery

Checking the ongoing alerts about MSP Recovery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MSP Recovery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MSP Recovery is now traded under the symbol MSPR. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
MSP Recovery had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
MSP Recovery has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
MSP Recoveryhas  2,499,669  shares shorted by MSP Recovery investors is about 200% of outstending shares
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (56.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.44 M.
MSP Recovery generates negative cash flow from operations
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 80757 shares by Cano Health, Inc. of MSP Recovery at 0.76 subject to Rule 16b-3

Other Consideration for investing in MSP Stock

If you are still planning to invest in MSP Recovery check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the MSP Recovery's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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