Asuransi Jiwa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7937.5
| LIFE Stock | 7,300 275.00 3.63% |
Asuransi |
Asuransi Jiwa Target Price Odds to finish below 7937.5
The tendency of Asuransi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 7,938 after 90 days |
| 7,300 | 90 days | 7,938 | about 53.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asuransi Jiwa to stay under 7,938 after 90 days from now is about 53.82 (This Asuransi Jiwa Sinarmas probability density function shows the probability of Asuransi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asuransi Jiwa Sinarmas price to stay between its current price of 7,300 and 7,938 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asuransi Jiwa has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Asuransi Jiwa do not appear to be very sensitive. Additionally It does not look like Asuransi Jiwa's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Asuransi Jiwa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asuransi Jiwa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asuransi Jiwa Sinarmas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asuransi Jiwa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asuransi Jiwa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asuransi Jiwa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asuransi Jiwa Sinarmas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asuransi Jiwa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,127 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Asuransi Jiwa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asuransi Jiwa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asuransi Jiwa Sinarmas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asuransi Jiwa is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Asuransi Jiwa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Asuransi Jiwa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asuransi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asuransi Jiwa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asuransi Jiwa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Asuransi Jiwa Technical Analysis
Asuransi Jiwa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asuransi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asuransi Jiwa Sinarmas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asuransi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asuransi Jiwa Predictive Forecast Models
Asuransi Jiwa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asuransi Jiwa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asuransi Jiwa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asuransi Jiwa Sinarmas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asuransi Jiwa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asuransi Jiwa Sinarmas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asuransi Jiwa is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Asuransi Jiwa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Asuransi Stock
Asuransi Jiwa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asuransi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asuransi with respect to the benefits of owning Asuransi Jiwa security.