Lifex Inflation Protected Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 23.66

LIAWX Fund   23.95  0.00  0.00%   
Lifex Inflation's future price is the expected price of Lifex Inflation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lifex Inflation Protected Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
  
Please specify Lifex Inflation's target price for which you would like Lifex Inflation odds to be computed.

Lifex Inflation Target Price Odds to finish below 23.66

The tendency of Lifex Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  23.66  or more in 90 days
 23.95 90 days 23.66 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lifex Inflation to drop to  23.66  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Lifex Inflation Protected Income probability density function shows the probability of Lifex Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lifex Inflation Prot price to stay between  23.66  and its current price of 23.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lifex Inflation Protected Income has a beta of -0.0097. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lifex Inflation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lifex Inflation Protected Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lifex Inflation Protected Income has an alpha of 0.0101, implying that it can generate a 0.0101 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lifex Inflation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lifex Inflation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifex Inflation Prot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifex Inflation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.9523.9523.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6623.6626.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.9723.9723.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.9523.9523.95
Details

Lifex Inflation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lifex Inflation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lifex Inflation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lifex Inflation Protected Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lifex Inflation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0097
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.54

Lifex Inflation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lifex Inflation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lifex Inflation Prot can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifex Inflation Prot is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Lifex Inflation Prot generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: PDO Vs. PDI Which One Of These Double-Digit Yielding Funds Is The Better Buy - Seeking Alpha

Lifex Inflation Technical Analysis

Lifex Inflation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lifex Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lifex Inflation Protected Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lifex Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lifex Inflation Predictive Forecast Models

Lifex Inflation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lifex Inflation's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lifex Inflation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lifex Inflation Prot

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lifex Inflation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lifex Inflation Prot help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifex Inflation Prot is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Lifex Inflation Prot generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: PDO Vs. PDI Which One Of These Double-Digit Yielding Funds Is The Better Buy - Seeking Alpha

Other Information on Investing in Lifex Mutual Fund

Lifex Inflation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lifex Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lifex with respect to the benefits of owning Lifex Inflation security.
Portfolio Volatility
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Fundamental Analysis
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Performance Analysis
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