Life Healthcare (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,727

LHC Stock   1,745  11.00  0.63%   
Life Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Life Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Life Healthcare performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Life Healthcare Backtesting, Life Healthcare Valuation, Life Healthcare Correlation, Life Healthcare Hype Analysis, Life Healthcare Volatility, Life Healthcare History as well as Life Healthcare Performance.
  
Please specify Life Healthcare's target price for which you would like Life Healthcare odds to be computed.

Life Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 1,727

The tendency of Life Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,745 90 days 1,745 
about 85.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Life Healthcare to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 85.72 (This Life Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Life Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Life Healthcare has a beta of 0.054. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Life Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Life Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Life Healthcare has an alpha of 0.294, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Life Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Life Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Life Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,7431,7451,747
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5701,7901,792
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,7061,7081,710
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,6691,7251,781
Details

Life Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Life Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Life Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Life Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Life Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
77.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Life Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Life Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Life Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Life Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Life Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Life Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Life Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.8 B

Life Healthcare Technical Analysis

Life Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Life Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Life Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Life Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Life Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Life Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Life Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Life Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Life Healthcare

Checking the ongoing alerts about Life Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Life Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Life Stock

Life Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Life Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Life with respect to the benefits of owning Life Healthcare security.