Imago Mulia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 82.0
| LFLO Stock | IDR 85.00 1.00 1.19% |
Imago |
Imago Mulia Target Price Odds to finish below 82.0
The tendency of Imago Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 82.00 or more in 90 days |
| 85.00 | 90 days | 82.00 | about 10.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Imago Mulia to drop to 82.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.89 (This Imago Mulia Persada probability density function shows the probability of Imago Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Imago Mulia Persada price to stay between 82.00 and its current price of 85.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.15 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Imago Mulia will likely underperform. Additionally Imago Mulia Persada has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Imago Mulia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Imago Mulia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imago Mulia Persada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Imago Mulia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Imago Mulia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Imago Mulia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Imago Mulia Persada, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Imago Mulia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Imago Mulia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Imago Mulia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Imago Mulia Persada can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Imago Mulia Persada generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Imago Mulia Persada has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Imago Mulia generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Imago Mulia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Imago Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Imago Mulia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Imago Mulia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 B |
Imago Mulia Technical Analysis
Imago Mulia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Imago Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Imago Mulia Persada. In general, you should focus on analyzing Imago Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Imago Mulia Predictive Forecast Models
Imago Mulia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Imago Mulia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Imago Mulia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Imago Mulia Persada
Checking the ongoing alerts about Imago Mulia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Imago Mulia Persada help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Imago Mulia Persada generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Imago Mulia Persada has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Imago Mulia generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Imago Stock
Imago Mulia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Imago Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Imago with respect to the benefits of owning Imago Mulia security.