Leading Edge Materials Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0652

LEMIF Stock  USD 0.07  0  1.45%   
Leading Edge's future price is the expected price of Leading Edge instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Leading Edge Materials performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Leading Edge Backtesting, Leading Edge Valuation, Leading Edge Correlation, Leading Edge Hype Analysis, Leading Edge Volatility, Leading Edge History as well as Leading Edge Performance.
  
Please specify Leading Edge's target price for which you would like Leading Edge odds to be computed.

Leading Edge Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0652

The tendency of Leading OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.07  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 11.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leading Edge to drop to $ 0.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.76 (This Leading Edge Materials probability density function shows the probability of Leading OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leading Edge Materials price to stay between $ 0.07  and its current price of $0.068 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Leading Edge Materials has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Leading Edge are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Leading Edge Materials is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Leading Edge Materials has an alpha of 0.0233, implying that it can generate a 0.0233 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Leading Edge Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Leading Edge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leading Edge Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.076.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.066.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.076.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.07
Details

Leading Edge Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leading Edge is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leading Edge's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leading Edge Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leading Edge within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Leading Edge Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leading Edge for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leading Edge Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leading Edge had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Leading Edge has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Leading Edge has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.61 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (169.61 K).
Leading Edge Materials has accumulated about 1.69 M in cash with (1.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Leading Edge Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leading OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leading Edge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leading Edge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.5 M

Leading Edge Technical Analysis

Leading Edge's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leading OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leading Edge Materials. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leading OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Leading Edge Predictive Forecast Models

Leading Edge's time-series forecasting models is one of many Leading Edge's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leading Edge's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Leading Edge Materials

Checking the ongoing alerts about Leading Edge for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leading Edge Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leading Edge had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Leading Edge has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Leading Edge has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.61 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (169.61 K).
Leading Edge Materials has accumulated about 1.69 M in cash with (1.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Leading OTC Stock

Leading Edge financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leading OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leading with respect to the benefits of owning Leading Edge security.