Lycos Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.25

LCX Stock   2.92  0.03  1.02%   
Lycos Energy's future price is the expected price of Lycos Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lycos Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lycos Energy Backtesting, Lycos Energy Valuation, Lycos Energy Correlation, Lycos Energy Hype Analysis, Lycos Energy Volatility, Lycos Energy History as well as Lycos Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Lycos Energy's target price for which you would like Lycos Energy odds to be computed.

Lycos Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 12.25

The tendency of Lycos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  12.25  or more in 90 days
 2.92 90 days 12.25 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lycos Energy to move over  12.25  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lycos Energy probability density function shows the probability of Lycos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lycos Energy price to stay between its current price of  2.92  and  12.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lycos Energy has a beta of -0.083. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lycos Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lycos Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lycos Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lycos Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lycos Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lycos Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.926.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.425.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.986.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.080.080.08
Details

Lycos Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lycos Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lycos Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lycos Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lycos Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Lycos Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lycos Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lycos Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lycos Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lycos Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lycos Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lycos Energy Third Quarter 2024 Earnings EPS CA0.07 - Yahoo Finance

Lycos Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lycos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lycos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lycos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.1 M
Shares Float48.8 M

Lycos Energy Technical Analysis

Lycos Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lycos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lycos Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lycos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lycos Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Lycos Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lycos Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lycos Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lycos Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lycos Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lycos Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lycos Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lycos Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lycos Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lycos Energy Third Quarter 2024 Earnings EPS CA0.07 - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for Lycos Stock Analysis

When running Lycos Energy's price analysis, check to measure Lycos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lycos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Lycos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lycos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lycos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lycos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.