Li Bang International Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.77
| LBGJ Stock | 3.28 0.04 1.23% |
LBGJ |
Li Bang Target Price Odds to finish below 3.77
The tendency of LBGJ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.77 after 90 days |
| 3.28 | 90 days | 3.77 | about 59.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Li Bang to stay under 3.77 after 90 days from now is about 59.13 (This Li Bang International probability density function shows the probability of LBGJ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Li Bang International price to stay between its current price of 3.28 and 3.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Li Bang International has a beta of -0.63. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Li Bang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Li Bang International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Li Bang International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Li Bang Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Li Bang
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Li Bang International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Li Bang Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Li Bang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Li Bang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Li Bang International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Li Bang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Li Bang Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Li Bang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Li Bang International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Li Bang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Li Bang has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Li Bang has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Libang Kitchenware Sees 14 percent Stock Surge Amid Market Fluctuations |
Li Bang Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LBGJ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Li Bang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Li Bang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.6 M |
Li Bang Technical Analysis
Li Bang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LBGJ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Li Bang International. In general, you should focus on analyzing LBGJ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Li Bang Predictive Forecast Models
Li Bang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Li Bang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Li Bang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Li Bang International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Li Bang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Li Bang International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Li Bang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Li Bang has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Li Bang has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Libang Kitchenware Sees 14 percent Stock Surge Amid Market Fluctuations |
Check out Li Bang Backtesting, Li Bang Valuation, Li Bang Correlation, Li Bang Hype Analysis, Li Bang Volatility, Li Bang History as well as Li Bang Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Machinery space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Li Bang. If investors know LBGJ will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Li Bang listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.07) | Revenue Per Share 0.635 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.189 | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (0.28) |
The market value of Li Bang International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LBGJ that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Li Bang's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Li Bang's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Li Bang's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Li Bang's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Li Bang's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Li Bang is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Li Bang's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.