LAM THAO (Vietnam) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17712.77

LAS Stock   21,600  400.00  1.89%   
LAM THAO's future price is the expected price of LAM THAO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LAM THAO FERTI performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LAM THAO Backtesting, LAM THAO Valuation, LAM THAO Correlation, LAM THAO Hype Analysis, LAM THAO Volatility, LAM THAO History as well as LAM THAO Performance.
  
Please specify LAM THAO's target price for which you would like LAM THAO odds to be computed.

LAM THAO Target Price Odds to finish below 17712.77

The tendency of LAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  17,713  or more in 90 days
 21,600 90 days 17,713 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LAM THAO to drop to  17,713  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LAM THAO FERTI probability density function shows the probability of LAM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LAM THAO FERTI price to stay between  17,713  and its current price of 21600.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LAM THAO has a beta of 0.55. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LAM THAO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LAM THAO FERTI will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LAM THAO FERTI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LAM THAO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LAM THAO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LAM THAO FERTI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21,67221,67321,675
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20,58921,38922,189
Details

LAM THAO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LAM THAO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LAM THAO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LAM THAO FERTI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LAM THAO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
762.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

LAM THAO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LAM THAO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LAM THAO FERTI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LAM THAO FERTI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

LAM THAO Technical Analysis

LAM THAO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LAM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LAM THAO FERTI. In general, you should focus on analyzing LAM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LAM THAO Predictive Forecast Models

LAM THAO's time-series forecasting models is one of many LAM THAO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LAM THAO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LAM THAO FERTI

Checking the ongoing alerts about LAM THAO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LAM THAO FERTI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LAM THAO FERTI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in LAM Stock

LAM THAO financial ratios help investors to determine whether LAM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LAM with respect to the benefits of owning LAM THAO security.