Lithium Americas Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.94
| LAC Stock | USD 3.42 0.20 5.52% |
Closest to current price Lithium long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Lithium |
Lithium Americas Target Price Odds to finish below 2.94
The tendency of Lithium Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.94 or more in 90 days |
| 3.42 | 90 days | 2.94 | about 32.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lithium Americas to drop to $ 2.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.53 (This Lithium Americas Corp probability density function shows the probability of Lithium Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lithium Americas Corp price to stay between $ 2.94 and its current price of $3.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.3 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Lithium Americas Corp has a beta of -0.45. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lithium Americas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lithium Americas Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lithium Americas Corp has an alpha of 0.9278, implying that it can generate a 0.93 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lithium Americas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lithium Americas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lithium Americas Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lithium Americas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lithium Americas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lithium Americas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lithium Americas Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lithium Americas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Lithium Americas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lithium Americas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lithium Americas Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lithium Americas is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lithium Americas appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.93 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Lithium Americas Corp has about 440.82 M in cash with (37.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.28. | |
| Lithium Americas has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from scmp.com: China, India vow to learn from 2020 border clash, keep talking to prevent repeat |
Lithium Americas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lithium Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lithium Americas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lithium Americas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 195.5 M |
Lithium Americas Technical Analysis
Lithium Americas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lithium Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lithium Americas Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lithium Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lithium Americas Predictive Forecast Models
Lithium Americas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lithium Americas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lithium Americas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lithium Americas Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lithium Americas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lithium Americas Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lithium Americas is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lithium Americas appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.93 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Lithium Americas Corp has about 440.82 M in cash with (37.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.28. | |
| Lithium Americas has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from scmp.com: China, India vow to learn from 2020 border clash, keep talking to prevent repeat |
Check out Lithium Americas Backtesting, Lithium Americas Valuation, Lithium Americas Correlation, Lithium Americas Hype Analysis, Lithium Americas Volatility, Lithium Americas History as well as Lithium Americas Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lithium Americas. If investors know Lithium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lithium Americas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.126 | Earnings Share (0.12) | Revenue Per Share 0.02 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Lithium Americas Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lithium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lithium Americas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lithium Americas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lithium Americas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lithium Americas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lithium Americas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lithium Americas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lithium Americas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.