Quaker Chemical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 141.45
| KWR Stock | USD 140.33 0.17 0.12% |
Quaker |
Quaker Chemical Target Price Odds to finish below 141.45
The tendency of Quaker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 141.45 after 90 days |
| 140.33 | 90 days | 141.45 | roughly 2.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quaker Chemical to stay under $ 141.45 after 90 days from now is roughly 2.48 (This Quaker Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Quaker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quaker Chemical price to stay between its current price of $ 140.33 and $ 141.45 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Quaker Chemical has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Quaker Chemical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Quaker Chemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Quaker Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Quaker Chemical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Quaker Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quaker Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quaker Chemical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Quaker Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quaker Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quaker Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quaker Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quaker Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Quaker Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quaker Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quaker Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Quaker Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Quaker Chemical has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 858 shares by Qh Hungary Holdings Ltd of Quaker Chemical subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Quaker Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quaker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quaker Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quaker Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 194.5 M |
Quaker Chemical Technical Analysis
Quaker Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quaker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quaker Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quaker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Quaker Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
Quaker Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quaker Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quaker Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Quaker Chemical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Quaker Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quaker Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Quaker Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Quaker Chemical has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 858 shares by Qh Hungary Holdings Ltd of Quaker Chemical subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Quaker Stock Analysis
When running Quaker Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Quaker Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quaker Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Quaker Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quaker Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quaker Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quaker Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.