Galaxy Entertainment (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.2

KW9A Stock  EUR 4.20  0.02  0.48%   
Galaxy Entertainment's future price is the expected price of Galaxy Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Galaxy Entertainment Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Galaxy Entertainment Backtesting, Galaxy Entertainment Valuation, Galaxy Entertainment Correlation, Galaxy Entertainment Hype Analysis, Galaxy Entertainment Volatility, Galaxy Entertainment History as well as Galaxy Entertainment Performance.
  
Please specify Galaxy Entertainment's target price for which you would like Galaxy Entertainment odds to be computed.

Galaxy Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 4.2

The tendency of Galaxy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 4.20 90 days 4.20 
about 55.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galaxy Entertainment to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 55.52 (This Galaxy Entertainment Group probability density function shows the probability of Galaxy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Galaxy Entertainment has a beta of 0.89. This indicates Galaxy Entertainment Group market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Galaxy Entertainment is expected to follow. Additionally Galaxy Entertainment Group has an alpha of 0.6103, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Galaxy Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Galaxy Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galaxy Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.208.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.575.119.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Galaxy Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Galaxy Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Galaxy Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Galaxy Entertainment.

Galaxy Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galaxy Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galaxy Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galaxy Entertainment Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galaxy Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Galaxy Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galaxy Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galaxy Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Galaxy Entertainment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Galaxy Entertainment Group has accumulated 1.13 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 14.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Galaxy Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Galaxy Entertainment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Galaxy Entertainment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Galaxy Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Galaxy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Galaxy Entertainment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Galaxy Entertainment Group has accumulated about 1.17 B in cash with (3.49 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27.
Roughly 51.0% of Galaxy Entertainment outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Galaxy Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galaxy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galaxy Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galaxy Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.4 B

Galaxy Entertainment Technical Analysis

Galaxy Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galaxy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galaxy Entertainment Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galaxy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Galaxy Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

Galaxy Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Galaxy Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galaxy Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Galaxy Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Galaxy Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galaxy Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Galaxy Entertainment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Galaxy Entertainment Group has accumulated 1.13 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 14.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Galaxy Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Galaxy Entertainment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Galaxy Entertainment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Galaxy Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Galaxy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Galaxy Entertainment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Galaxy Entertainment Group has accumulated about 1.17 B in cash with (3.49 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27.
Roughly 51.0% of Galaxy Entertainment outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Galaxy Stock

Galaxy Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galaxy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galaxy with respect to the benefits of owning Galaxy Entertainment security.