Coca Cola (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 139.05
| KOFUBL Stock | 158.93 0.28 0.18% |
Coca |
Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish below 139.05
The tendency of Coca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 139.05 or more in 90 days |
| 158.93 | 90 days | 139.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to drop to 139.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Coca Cola FEMSA SAB probability density function shows the probability of Coca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca Cola FEMSA price to stay between 139.05 and its current price of 158.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Coca Cola FEMSA SAB has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Coca Cola are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Coca Cola FEMSA SAB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Coca Cola FEMSA SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Coca Cola Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Coca Cola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola FEMSA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coca Cola Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coca Cola FEMSA SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Coca Cola Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coca Cola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coca Cola FEMSA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Coca Cola FEMSA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Coca Cola Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Coca Cola Technical Analysis
Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models
Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Coca Cola FEMSA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Coca Cola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coca Cola FEMSA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Coca Cola FEMSA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca Stock
When determining whether Coca Cola FEMSA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Coca Cola's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Coca Cola's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Coca Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.