The Coca Cola Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62.98
| KO Stock | USD 64.43 0.12 0.19% |
Closest to current price Coca long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Coca |
Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish below 62.98
The tendency of Coca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 62.98 or more in 90 days |
| 64.43 | 90 days | 62.98 | about 5.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to drop to $ 62.98 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.36 (This The Coca Cola probability density function shows the probability of Coca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca Cola price to stay between $ 62.98 and its current price of $64.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.53 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Coca Cola has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Coca Cola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Coca Cola will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Coca Cola has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Coca Cola Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Coca Cola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coca Cola Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Coca Cola, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Coca Cola Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coca Cola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coca Cola can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Coca Cola generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of October 2024 Coca Cola paid $ 0.485 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Beatriz Perez of 57298 shares of Coca Cola at 41.885 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Coca Cola Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.7 B |
Coca Cola Technical Analysis
Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Coca Cola. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models
Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Coca Cola
Checking the ongoing alerts about Coca Cola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coca Cola help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Coca Cola generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of October 2024 Coca Cola paid $ 0.485 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Beatriz Perez of 57298 shares of Coca Cola at 41.885 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coca Cola. If investors know Coca will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coca Cola listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 1.915 | Earnings Share 2.41 | Revenue Per Share 10.753 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Coca Cola is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coca that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coca Cola's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coca Cola's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coca Cola's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coca Cola's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca Cola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coca Cola is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca Cola's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.