Klx Energy Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.25
| KLXE Stock | USD 4.64 0.08 1.75% |
KLX |
KLX Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 12.25
The tendency of KLX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 12.25 after 90 days |
| 4.64 | 90 days | 12.25 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KLX Energy to stay under $ 12.25 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This KLX Energy Services probability density function shows the probability of KLX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KLX Energy Services price to stay between its current price of $ 4.64 and $ 12.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KLX Energy has a beta of 0.0756. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KLX Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KLX Energy Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KLX Energy Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KLX Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KLX Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KLX Energy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KLX Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KLX Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KLX Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KLX Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KLX Energy Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KLX Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
KLX Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KLX Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KLX Energy Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KLX Energy Services generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KLX Energy Services has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1000 shares by Keefer Lehner of KLX Energy at 4.48 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
KLX Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KLX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KLX Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KLX Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 112.5 M |
KLX Energy Technical Analysis
KLX Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KLX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KLX Energy Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing KLX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KLX Energy Predictive Forecast Models
KLX Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many KLX Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KLX Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KLX Energy Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about KLX Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KLX Energy Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KLX Energy Services generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KLX Energy Services has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1000 shares by Keefer Lehner of KLX Energy at 4.48 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out KLX Energy Backtesting, KLX Energy Valuation, KLX Energy Correlation, KLX Energy Hype Analysis, KLX Energy Volatility, KLX Energy History as well as KLX Energy Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KLX Energy. If investors know KLX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KLX Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | Earnings Share (2.98) | Revenue Per Share 45.556 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of KLX Energy Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KLX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KLX Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KLX Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KLX Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KLX Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KLX Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KLX Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KLX Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.