Kitwave Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 314.61
| KITW Stock | 319.00 1.00 0.31% |
Kitwave |
Kitwave Group Target Price Odds to finish below 314.61
The tendency of Kitwave Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 314.61 or more in 90 days |
| 319.00 | 90 days | 314.61 | nearly 4.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kitwave Group to drop to 314.61 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.53 (This Kitwave Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Kitwave Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kitwave Group PLC price to stay between 314.61 and its current price of 319.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kitwave Group has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kitwave Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kitwave Group PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kitwave Group PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kitwave Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kitwave Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kitwave Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kitwave Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kitwave Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kitwave Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kitwave Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kitwave Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Kitwave Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kitwave Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kitwave Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kitwave Group PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kitwave Group PLC Reports Strong Year and Strategic Growth - TipRanks |
Kitwave Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kitwave Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kitwave Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kitwave Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 673 K |
Kitwave Group Technical Analysis
Kitwave Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kitwave Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kitwave Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kitwave Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kitwave Group Predictive Forecast Models
Kitwave Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kitwave Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kitwave Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kitwave Group PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kitwave Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kitwave Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kitwave Group PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kitwave Group PLC Reports Strong Year and Strategic Growth - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Kitwave Stock Analysis
When running Kitwave Group's price analysis, check to measure Kitwave Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kitwave Group is operating at the current time. Most of Kitwave Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kitwave Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kitwave Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kitwave Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.